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Red264
5447110.3
6093131.0
6649118.3
Blue370
655293.4
4819122.9
5603162.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2753440100200400500600700264370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6093
#18
131.00.9
128.0128.9
Auto17.5
Teleop94.8
End18.6
blue by 31.3
162.33.1
153.4156.5
Auto21.8
Teleop116.2
End28.1
Second
6649
#20
118.31.7
115.5117.2
Auto17.0
Teleop87.9
End13.2
blue by 4.7
4819
#16
122.92.9
118.2121.1
Auto16.0
Teleop94.3
End15.7
Third
5447
#25
110.30.5
109.9110.3
Auto14.4
Teleop79.8
End17.1
red by 17.0
6552
#22
93.40.5
93.993.4
Auto13.2
Teleop67.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned