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Red281
6559122.3
5712162.2
5504114.0
Blue151
6493114.3
5538114.1
5203115.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362380100200300400500600281151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.20.7
160.0160.7
Auto23.4
Teleop115.5
End23.3
red by 47.0
5203
#29
115.13.2
118.3115.1
Auto14.1
Teleop94.0
End1.3
Second
6559
#30
122.30.3
122.8122.5
Auto15.8
Teleop91.3
End14.1
red by 8.0
6493
#32
114.31.6
112.7114.3
Auto12.6
Teleop91.5
End8.9
Third
114.01.5
111.7113.3
Auto19.3
Teleop86.8
End9.3
blue by 0.1
5538
#26
114.10.3
114.4114.1
Auto14.9
Teleop85.6
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed