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Red426
33200.6
67188.5
1701156.2
Blue257
2145151.5
503169.9
7225171.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422327100200300500600700426257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
200.60.3
199.5199.8
Auto22.6
Teleop150.4
End24.1
red by 28.8
7225
#19
171.80.3
171.5171.8
Auto26.3
Teleop128.5
End17.5
Second
67
#1
188.50.1
188.4188.5
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
red by 18.6
503
#11
169.90.0
169.8169.9
Auto24.6
Teleop126.0
End19.7
Third
1701
#15
156.20.0
156.4156.4
Auto18.7
Teleop109.6
End23.2
red by 4.8
2145
#18
151.50.1
151.5151.5
Auto13.7
Teleop120.1
End16.4