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Red397
33200.6
67188.5
1701156.2
Blue307
4362165.9
5460169.0
201154.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394345100200300500600397307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
200.60.3
199.8200.2
Auto22.6
Teleop150.4
End24.1
red by 31.6
169.00.5
168.0168.5
Auto22.1
Teleop122.6
End23.4
Second
67
#1
188.50.1
188.5188.6
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
red by 22.6
165.90.6
164.7165.3
Auto21.9
Teleop126.6
End17.9
Third
1701
#15
156.20.1
156.4156.5
Auto18.7
Teleop109.6
End23.2
red by 1.7
201
#27
154.60.2
154.2154.4
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End14.4