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Red338
33200.6
67188.5
1701156.2
Blue312
2145151.5
503169.9
7225171.8
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422328100200500600700338312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
200.60.5
199.0199.5
Auto22.6
Teleop150.4
End24.1
red by 28.8
7225
#19
171.80.4
171.1171.5
Auto26.3
Teleop128.5
End17.5
Second
67
#1
188.50.2
188.1188.4
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
red by 18.6
503
#11
169.90.1
169.8169.8
Auto24.6
Teleop126.0
End19.7
Third
1701
#15
156.20.1
156.3156.4
Auto18.7
Teleop109.6
End23.2
red by 4.8
2145
#18
151.50.1
151.6151.5
Auto13.7
Teleop120.1
End16.4