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Red220
7232112.4
5215112.2
2612134.6
Blue327
722391.1
7178128.0
6078110.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309253100200400220327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#35
134.62.4
138.4136.0
Auto17.0
Teleop101.3
End15.5
red by 6.6
7178
#25
128.00.3
126.4126.1
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9
Second
7232
#32
112.41.9
110.5112.4
Auto15.1
Teleop83.3
End15.4
red by 1.8
6078
#33
110.60.1
110.7110.6
Auto16.5
Teleop86.4
End9.6
Third
5215
#31
112.21.8
114.0112.2
Auto18.4
Teleop78.3
End12.8
red by 21.1
7223
#39
91.10.5
91.591.1
Auto14.6
Teleop72.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed