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Red429
51146.3
5561167.9
4994143.5
Blue279
5524147.6
3668148.5
3568117.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394264100200300500600700429279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.90.3
166.1166.4
Auto18.6
Teleop122.4
End28.0
red by 19.4
3668
#10
148.50.2
148.8148.6
Auto20.3
Teleop105.1
End23.3
Second
51
#12
146.30.8
142.4143.2
Auto17.7
Teleop107.4
End24.3
blue by 1.2
5524
#16
147.60.5
146.5147.1
Auto17.5
Teleop111.6
End18.8
Third
4994
#14
143.50.5
145.1144.7
Auto22.7
Teleop106.2
End13.7
red by 25.8
3568
#21
117.70.9
116.0116.9
Auto16.9
Teleop81.5
End23.2