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Red177
51146.3
5561167.9
4994143.5
Blue451
3536180.9
3707195.9
7178128.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322375100200500600700177451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.90.3
167.5167.9
Auto18.6
Teleop122.4
End28.0
blue by 28.1
195.90.6
193.9194.6
Auto27.9
Teleop138.4
End30.6
Second
51
#12
146.30.7
145.6146.3
Auto17.7
Teleop107.4
End24.3
blue by 34.5
180.90.0
180.8180.8
Auto23.8
Teleop128.2
End27.3
Third
4994
#14
143.50.3
143.7143.5
Auto22.7
Teleop106.2
End13.7
red by 15.5
7178
#25
128.00.2
127.2127.4
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9