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Red207
51146.3
5561167.9
4994143.5
Blue367
3536180.9
3707195.9
7178128.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327371100200500600700800207367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.90.4
167.1167.5
Auto18.6
Teleop122.4
End28.0
blue by 28.1
195.90.7
193.2193.9
Auto27.9
Teleop138.4
End30.6
Second
51
#12
146.30.8
144.8145.6
Auto17.7
Teleop107.4
End24.3
blue by 34.5
180.90.1
180.9180.8
Auto23.8
Teleop128.2
End27.3
Third
4994
#14
143.50.2
144.0143.7
Auto22.7
Teleop106.2
End13.7
red by 15.5
7178
#25
128.00.2
126.9127.2
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9