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Red393
7178128.0
51146.3
67188.5
Blue300
2145151.5
4362165.9
7254113.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843400100200400500600700393300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
188.50.9
173.5174.4
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
red by 22.6
165.92.4
151.1153.5
Auto21.9
Teleop126.6
End17.9
Second
51
#12
146.32.0
129.7131.7
Auto17.7
Teleop107.4
End24.3
blue by 5.1
2145
#18
151.50.6
146.5145.9
Auto13.7
Teleop120.1
End16.4
Third
7178
#25
128.07.0
94.2101.3
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9
red by 14.1
7254
#29
113.95.4
97.1102.6
Auto15.7
Teleop79.8
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed