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Red321
5215112.2
5524147.6
7195127.9
Blue285
6559108.4
201154.6
3568117.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305276200250350400321285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5524
#16
147.61.4
140.8142.2
Auto17.5
Teleop111.6
End18.8
blue by 7.0
201
#27
154.61.2
153.0151.9
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End14.4
Second
7195
#22
127.97.1
100.3107.4
Auto16.6
Teleop92.5
End16.6
red by 10.2
3568
#21
117.70.2
110.8111.0
Auto16.9
Teleop81.5
End23.2
Third
5215
#31
112.20.5
122.9122.3
Auto18.4
Teleop78.3
End12.8
red by 3.8
6559
#40
108.42.4
105.7108.1
Auto13.7
Teleop84.3
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed