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Red333
7178128.0
7254113.9
27171.4
Blue335
7191104.9
5641112.4
3536180.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308289150200250350400450500333335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#5
171.40.2
158.4158.6
Auto23.1
Teleop119.9
End31.8
blue by 9.5
180.90.3
172.4172.6
Auto23.8
Teleop128.2
End27.3
Second
7178
#25
128.07.5
101.3108.8
Auto14.3
Teleop97.9
End18.9
red by 15.6
5641
#23
112.41.4
105.8107.2
Auto16.9
Teleop87.7
End8.2
Third
7254
#29
113.92.4
102.6104.9
Auto15.7
Teleop79.8
End18.6
red by 9.0
7191
#30
104.90.7
91.191.8
Auto15.4
Teleop79.1
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed