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Red304
308148.2
2960151.3
7195127.9
Blue429
5561167.9
7196102.3
67188.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623500100200300400500600304429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#17
151.32.0
134.8136.9
Auto21.7
Teleop109.7
End22.9
blue by 37.2
67
#1
188.51.9
174.4176.3
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
Second
308
#8
148.25.2
124.8130.0
Auto17.9
Teleop104.1
End29.2
blue by 19.6
167.91.5
151.3152.7
Auto18.6
Teleop122.4
End28.0
Third
7195
#22
127.95.4
107.4112.8
Auto16.6
Teleop92.5
End16.6
red by 25.6
7196
#37
102.30.1
100.2100.3
Auto14.4
Teleop78.6
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned43%Face the Boss oddsEarned