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Red245
722391.1
7196102.3
5460169.0
Blue266
2960151.3
3668148.5
5641112.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294317200250350400245266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.02.2
163.1165.3
Auto22.1
Teleop122.6
End23.4
red by 17.7
2960
#17
151.32.2
142.9145.1
Auto21.7
Teleop109.7
End22.9
Second
7196
#37
102.30.9
102.1103.0
Auto14.4
Teleop78.6
End10.3
blue by 46.2
3668
#10
148.50.2
150.0150.1
Auto20.3
Teleop105.1
End23.3
Third
7223
#39
91.11.6
95.994.3
Auto14.6
Teleop72.8
End6.1
blue by 21.4
5641
#23
112.40.1
110.0110.1
Auto16.9
Teleop87.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed