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Red361
67188.5
7232112.4
33200.6
Blue305
6117155.8
6190123.3
7225171.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400321200500600361305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
200.61.3
196.5197.8
Auto22.6
Teleop150.4
End24.1
red by 28.8
7225
#19
171.82.0
163.2165.2
Auto26.3
Teleop128.5
End17.5
Second
67
#1
188.50.6
184.1184.7
Auto25.0
Teleop123.5
End36.8
red by 32.6
6117
#20
155.81.7
148.0149.6
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End24.0
Third
7232
#32
112.40.7
107.5108.3
Auto15.1
Teleop83.3
End15.4
blue by 10.9
6190
#24
123.31.5
119.3120.8
Auto15.9
Teleop85.3
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss oddsEarned19%Face the Boss oddsMissed