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Red225
7191104.9
6078110.6
4776146.1
Blue397
658393.7
7195127.9
3707195.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251339100200300400500225397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4776
#13
146.10.4
142.9142.5
Auto18.1
Teleop111.2
End16.6
blue by 49.9
195.92.7
180.5183.2
Auto27.9
Teleop138.4
End30.6
Second
6078
#33
110.60.6
113.2112.5
Auto16.5
Teleop86.4
End9.6
blue by 17.3
7195
#22
127.91.0
124.0125.0
Auto16.6
Teleop92.5
End16.6
Third
7191
#30
104.91.9
100.7102.6
Auto15.4
Teleop79.1
End14.3
red by 11.2
6583
#38
93.70.3
92.292.5
Auto14.2
Teleop74.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed