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Red203
4362165.9
5215112.2
548145.6
Blue433
51146.3
7225171.8
7232112.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348307100200400500600203433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.92.3
158.6161.0
Auto21.9
Teleop126.6
End17.9
blue by 5.9
7225
#19
171.81.8
165.2167.0
Auto26.3
Teleop128.5
End17.5
Second
548
#28
145.60.3
148.2148.5
Auto18.1
Teleop109.9
End16.9
blue by 0.8
51
#12
146.30.9
137.8138.7
Auto17.7
Teleop107.4
End24.3
Third
5215
#31
112.21.3
117.4116.1
Auto18.4
Teleop78.3
End12.8
blue by 0.2
7232
#32
112.40.7
108.3109.0
Auto15.1
Teleop83.3
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed