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Red433
5524147.6
6117155.8
51146.3
Blue90
2612134.6
3536180.9
6190123.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35634310015020025030040045043390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6117
#20
155.81.5
151.1152.6
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End24.0
blue by 25.0
180.91.9
179.3181.2
Auto23.8
Teleop128.2
End27.3
Second
5524
#16
147.60.9
145.6146.5
Auto17.5
Teleop111.6
End18.8
red by 12.9
2612
#35
134.60.1
138.3138.4
Auto17.0
Teleop101.3
End15.5
Third
51
#12
146.31.9
140.5142.4
Auto17.7
Teleop107.4
End24.3
red by 23.0
6190
#24
123.31.3
122.1123.3
Auto15.9
Teleop85.3
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed