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Red436
6559108.4
33200.6
7191104.9
Blue245
548145.6
2960151.3
7196102.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332297150200250350400450500436245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
200.60.3
198.7199.0
Auto22.6
Teleop150.4
End24.1
red by 49.3
2960
#17
151.32.0
148.4150.4
Auto21.7
Teleop109.7
End22.9
Second
6559
#40
108.40.3
108.1108.4
Auto13.7
Teleop84.3
End12.1
blue by 37.2
548
#28
145.61.5
147.0145.6
Auto18.1
Teleop109.9
End16.9
Third
7191
#30
104.90.6
104.3104.9
Auto15.4
Teleop79.1
End14.3
red by 2.6
7196
#37
102.30.5
102.8102.3
Auto14.4
Teleop78.6
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed