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Red304
5561167.9
7225171.8
658393.7
Blue431
3568117.7
5460169.0
308148.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357320150200250300400450500550304431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7225
#19
171.81.6
169.5171.1
Auto26.3
Teleop128.5
End17.5
red by 2.8
169.00.4
166.6167.0
Auto22.1
Teleop122.6
End23.4
Second
167.91.5
164.6166.1
Auto18.6
Teleop122.4
End28.0
red by 19.6
308
#8
148.20.9
146.1147.0
Auto17.9
Teleop104.1
End29.2
Third
6583
#38
93.70.5
93.293.7
Auto14.2
Teleop74.5
End4.6
blue by 24.0
3568
#21
117.71.9
114.2116.0
Auto16.9
Teleop81.5
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned