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Red247
4130161.6
6861144.8
226183.6
Blue363
4961157.5
5517160.9
1684185.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3284110200600800247363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
183.60.0
183.6183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
blue by 2.1
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
Second
4130
#13
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
red by 0.6
5517
#21
160.90.0
160.9160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
Third
6861
#20
144.80.0
144.8144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
blue by 12.7
4961
#14
157.50.0
157.5157.5
Auto23.7
Teleop119.4
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest odds96%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss odds27%Face the Boss odds