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Red164
5612144.3
6071116.4
1718176.7
Blue430
5460196.6
2337204.5
2832156.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424350100200300400500600700164430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
blue by 27.8
204.50.0
204.5204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
Second
5612
#22
144.30.0
144.3144.3
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
blue by 52.3
196.60.0
196.6196.6
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Third
6071
#19
116.40.0
116.4116.4
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
blue by 39.6
2832
#17
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest odds98%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss odds64%Face the Boss odds