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Red408
5234164.3
3539190.6
3535153.4
Blue201
6085128.1
5712162.6
818137.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3902960100200500600700408201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 28.0
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
Second
5234
#10
164.30.0
164.3164.3
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
red by 27.0
818
#24
137.20.0
137.2137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5
Third
3535
#11
153.40.0
153.4153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
red by 25.3
6085
#23
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest odds50%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
62%Face the Boss odds17%Face the Boss odds