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Red183
1188132.3
503176.4
68159.5
Blue446
4362194.3
548149.1
3534173.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033930100200500600700800183446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#18
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
blue by 17.8
194.30.0
194.3194.3
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
Second
68
#9
159.50.0
159.5159.5
Auto24.5
Teleop108.6
End25.7
blue by 14.2
173.70.0
173.7173.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
Third
1188
#12
132.30.0
132.3132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
blue by 16.8
548
#16
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest odds87%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss odds55%Face the Boss odds