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Red137
226183.6
818137.2
5234164.3
Blue426
2337204.5
3534173.7
1188132.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2994040100200500600700800137426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
183.60.0
183.6183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
blue by 20.8
204.50.0
204.5204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
Second
5234
#10
164.30.0
164.3164.3
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
blue by 9.4
173.70.0
173.7173.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
Third
818
#24
137.20.0
137.2137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5
red by 5.0
1188
#12
132.30.0
132.3132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss odds33%Face the Boss odds