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Red242
1684185.8
6085128.1
6861144.8
Blue376
5460196.6
3535153.4
1718176.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2964220100200500600700800242376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
blue by 10.8
196.60.0
196.6196.6
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Second
6861
#20
144.80.0
144.8144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
blue by 31.9
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Third
6085
#23
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
blue by 25.3
3535
#11
153.40.0
153.4153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest odds88%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss odds95%Face the Boss odds