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Red302
5517160.9
226183.6
3534173.7
Blue360
6071116.4
68159.5
3539190.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3933310100200500600700800302360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
183.60.0
183.6183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
blue by 6.9
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
Second
173.70.0
173.7173.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
red by 14.2
68
#9
159.50.0
159.5159.5
Auto24.5
Teleop108.6
End25.7
Third
5517
#21
160.90.0
160.9160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
red by 44.5
6071
#19
116.40.0
116.4116.4
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest odds89%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss odds21%Face the Boss odds