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Red442
4130161.6
5460196.6
5234164.3
Blue312
5712162.6
6861144.8
5612144.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4013050100200500600700442312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.60.0
196.6196.6
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
red by 34.0
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
Second
5234
#10
164.30.0
164.3164.3
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
red by 19.5
6861
#20
144.80.0
144.8144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
Third
4130
#13
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
red by 17.3
5612
#22
144.30.0
144.3144.3
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest odds81%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
59%Face the Boss odds15%Face the Boss odds