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Red309
503176.4
1684185.8
6071116.4
Blue401
3539190.6
1188132.3
226183.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367361300350400450500309401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
blue by 4.8
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
Second
503
#18
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
blue by 7.2
226
#15
183.60.0
183.6183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
Third
6071
#19
116.40.0
116.4116.4
Auto14.4
Teleop86.8
End17.0
blue by 15.8
1188
#12
132.30.0
132.3132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest odds93%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
49%Face the Boss odds21%Face the Boss odds