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Red260
5517160.9
818137.2
548149.1
Blue481
2832156.0
3534173.7
1718176.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3024080100200500600700260481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5517
#21
160.90.0
160.9160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
blue by 15.8
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
Second
548
#16
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
blue by 24.6
173.70.0
173.7173.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
Third
818
#24
137.20.0
137.2137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5
blue by 18.8
2832
#17
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds92%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss odds83%Face the Boss odds