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Red205
6861144.8
1188132.3
3535153.4
Blue474
503176.4
226183.6
2337204.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2464620100200300400500600205474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#11
153.40.0
153.4153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
blue by 51.1
204.50.0
204.5204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
Second
6861
#20
144.80.0
144.8144.8
Auto21.7
Teleop106.2
End18.1
blue by 38.9
226
#15
183.60.0
183.6183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
Third
1188
#12
132.30.0
132.3132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
blue by 44.2
503
#18
176.40.0
176.4176.4
Auto22.0
Teleop123.0
End29.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest odds97%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss odds57%Face the Boss odds