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Red290
3534173.7
3539190.6
818137.2
Blue193
5460196.6
6085128.1
548149.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361325200400500600700290193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
blue by 6.0
196.60.0
196.6196.6
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
Second
173.70.0
173.7173.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
red by 24.6
548
#16
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
Third
818
#24
137.20.0
137.2137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5
red by 9.1
6085
#23
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds58%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss odds41%Face the Boss odds