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Red324
1718176.7
548149.1
226183.6
Blue303
6085128.1
5234164.3
2337204.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3213840200600800324303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#15
183.60.0
183.6183.6
Auto25.7
Teleop133.7
End24.9
blue by 20.8
204.50.0
204.5204.5
Auto22.8
Teleop158.3
End22.5
Second
176.70.0
176.7176.7
Auto22.1
Teleop122.9
End33.4
red by 12.5
5234
#10
164.30.0
164.3164.3
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
Third
548
#16
149.10.0
149.1149.1
Auto18.3
Teleop108.2
End21.9
red by 21.0
6085
#23
128.10.0
128.1128.1
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest odds89%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
72%Face the Boss odds28%Face the Boss odds