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Red290
3534173.7
5612144.3
4961157.5
Blue493
1684185.8
3539190.6
2832156.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33839202006008001,000290493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.70.0
173.7173.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
blue by 16.9
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
Second
4961
#14
157.50.0
157.5157.5
Auto23.7
Teleop119.4
End16.4
blue by 28.3
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
Third
5612
#22
144.30.0
144.3144.3
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9
blue by 11.8
2832
#17
156.00.0
156.0156.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.8
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest odds98%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds61%Face the Boss odds