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Red182
5517160.9
4130161.6
1188132.3
Blue404
5712162.6
3535153.4
68159.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33138202006008001,000182404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#13
161.60.0
161.6161.6
Auto17.2
Teleop120.5
End24.6
blue by 1.0
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
Second
5517
#21
160.90.0
160.9160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
red by 1.5
68
#9
159.50.0
159.5159.5
Auto24.5
Teleop108.6
End25.7
Third
1188
#12
132.30.0
132.3132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
blue by 21.1
3535
#11
153.40.0
153.4153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest odds95%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss odds52%Face the Boss odds