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Red336
5460196.6
1684185.8
818137.2
Blue313
4362194.3
5712162.6
5612144.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34936202006008001,0001,2001,400336313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.60.0
196.6196.6
Auto20.5
Teleop146.7
End25.7
red by 2.3
194.30.0
194.3194.3
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
Second
185.80.0
185.8185.8
Auto25.3
Teleop133.3
End31.6
red by 23.2
162.60.0
162.6162.6
Auto21.3
Teleop117.3
End26.7
Third
818
#24
137.20.0
137.2137.2
Auto16.5
Teleop104.7
End16.5
blue by 7.1
5612
#22
144.30.0
144.3144.3
Auto15.7
Teleop117.4
End12.9