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Red386
6753156.3
1506193.7
7226123.4
Blue309
74176.9
6077153.4
6538138.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363352200250300400450500550386309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.70.4
192.9193.3
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
red by 16.8
74
#8
176.90.4
176.2176.5
Auto21.6
Teleop137.5
End18.0
Second
6753
#10
156.30.1
156.1156.2
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
red by 3.0
153.40.3
152.7153.1
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
Third
7226
#30
123.40.1
123.1123.3
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End21.9
blue by 15.2
6538
#14
138.60.4
137.8138.2
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6