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Red391
74176.9
6077153.4
6538138.6
Blue264
3570119.4
5222127.1
5982138.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406258100200300500600700391264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#8
176.90.5
174.3174.8
Auto21.6
Teleop137.5
End18.0
red by 38.2
5982
#20
138.70.0
138.6138.7
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
Second
153.40.4
151.1151.6
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
red by 26.3
127.10.4
126.7127.1
Auto15.0
Teleop99.8
End13.7
Third
6538
#14
138.60.6
135.7136.3
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6
red by 19.2
3570
#18
119.40.5
118.9119.4
Auto14.2
Teleop91.7
End15.5