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Quarterfinal 4-12018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red402
74176.9
6077153.4
6538138.6
Blue260
3570119.4
5222127.1
5982138.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402261100200300500600700402260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#8
176.90.5
173.8→174.3
Auto21.6
Teleop137.5
End18.0
red by 38.2
5982
#20
138.70.0
138.6→138.6
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
Second
6077
#3
153.40.4
150.7→151.1
Auto15.5
Teleop114.4
End24.8
red by 26.3
5222
#6
127.10.4
126.3→126.7
Auto15.0
Teleop99.8
End13.7
Third
6538
#14
138.60.6
135.1→135.7
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6
red by 19.2
3570
#18
119.40.6
118.3→118.9
Auto14.2
Teleop91.7
End15.5