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Quarterfinal 1-12018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red425
6753156.3
1506193.7
7226123.4
Blue183
1188132.3
6100158.1
5623120.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366287100200400500600700425183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#1
193.70.3
191.5→191.8
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
red by 35.6
6100
#9
158.10.1
157.9→158.0
Auto15.9
Teleop122.7
End20.3
Second
6753
#10
156.30.1
156.0→156.0
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
red by 24.1
1188
#19
132.30.4
131.6→132.0
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
Third
7226
#30
123.40.0
123.1→123.0
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End21.9
red by 2.8
5623
#22
120.60.1
120.8→120.8
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8