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Semifinal 1-12018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red412
6753156.3
1506193.7
7226123.4
Blue313
3572154.7
2959170.4
7109110.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370315200400500600412313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#1
193.70.4
192.1→192.5
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
red by 23.3
2959
#4
170.40.7
169.1→169.7
Auto18.8
Teleop118.9
End33.7
Second
6753
#10
156.30.0
156.0→156.0
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
red by 1.6
3572
#12
154.70.1
154.5→154.6
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End25.7
Third
7226
#30
123.40.0
123.1→123.1
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End21.9
red by 12.9
7109
#13
110.50.2
110.1→110.3
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4