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Red403
6753156.3
1506193.7
7226123.4
Blue199
1188132.3
6100158.1
5623120.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374278200400500600403199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.70.3
191.8192.1
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
red by 35.6
158.10.0
158.0158.1
Auto15.9
Teleop122.7
End20.3
Second
6753
#10
156.30.0
156.0156.0
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
red by 24.1
1188
#19
132.30.3
132.0132.3
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
Third
7226
#30
123.40.0
123.0123.1
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End21.9
red by 2.8
5623
#22
120.60.2
120.8120.6
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8