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Semifinal 1-22018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red455
6753156.3
1506193.7
7226123.4
Blue248
3572154.7
2959170.4
7109110.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374314200400500600455248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#1
193.70.4
192.5→192.9
Auto22.5
Teleop144.9
End27.3
red by 23.3
2959
#4
170.40.6
169.7→170.4
Auto18.8
Teleop118.9
End33.7
Second
6753
#10
156.30.1
156.0→156.1
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
red by 1.6
3572
#12
154.70.1
154.6→154.7
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End25.7
Third
7226
#30
123.40.1
123.1→123.1
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End21.9
red by 12.9
7109
#13
110.50.2
110.3→110.5
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4