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Quarterfinal 2-12018 FIM District Shepherd Event
Red259
3572154.7
2959170.4
7109110.5
Blue284
5538121.1
573175.6
5502133.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352319100200400500600259284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2959
#4
170.40.8
166.8→167.6
Auto18.8
Teleop118.9
End33.7
blue by 5.2
573
#5
175.60.1
176.0→175.9
Auto23.0
Teleop131.3
End20.4
Second
3572
#12
154.70.2
154.1→154.2
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End25.7
red by 21.8
5502
#16
133.00.3
132.3→132.6
Auto16.1
Teleop99.0
End17.4
Third
7109
#13
110.50.3
109.3→109.6
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4
blue by 10.5
5538
#17
121.10.1
120.9→121.0
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7