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Red252
5623120.6
6582146.1
6092102.5
Blue327
5203107.2
7211154.1
2959170.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843220100200400500600252327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6582
#11
146.11.4
132.7134.1
Auto22.9
Teleop104.5
End13.8
blue by 24.3
170.40.4
161.2160.8
Auto18.8
Teleop118.9
End33.7
Second
5623
#22
120.61.9
128.5126.6
Auto14.5
Teleop96.0
End10.8
blue by 33.5
7211
#21
154.10.7
136.4137.1
Auto15.4
Teleop115.0
End28.3
Third
6092
#31
102.51.5
107.5106.0
Auto16.1
Teleop78.3
End11.0
blue by 4.7
5203
#34
107.23.0
112.2109.2
Auto14.4
Teleop85.2
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed