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Red324
6100158.1
5538121.1
6753156.3
Blue191
721997.1
5448115.5
6102113.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542160100300400500600324191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.10.6
153.7154.2
Auto15.9
Teleop122.7
End20.3
red by 42.6
5448
#40
115.51.0
116.8117.8
Auto17.5
Teleop81.1
End18.1
Second
6753
#10
156.31.8
130.9132.7
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
red by 43.0
6102
#39
113.48.4
99.3107.7
Auto17.1
Teleop85.1
End6.2
Third
5538
#17
121.10.9
113.3112.4
Auto16.3
Teleop91.5
End13.7
red by 23.9
7219
#25
97.110.1
77.787.8
Auto16.1
Teleop74.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed