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Red436
6582146.1
74176.9
6753156.3
Blue140
3570119.4
573175.6
1188132.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326322150200250300350400450436140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#8
176.90.8
160.2161.0
Auto21.6
Teleop137.5
End18.0
red by 1.3
573
#5
175.62.1
173.7175.8
Auto23.0
Teleop131.3
End20.4
Second
6753
#10
156.31.1
129.9130.9
Auto22.2
Teleop116.2
End17.4
red by 24.1
1188
#19
132.30.4
121.1120.7
Auto17.2
Teleop102.1
End16.4
Third
6582
#11
146.10.6
132.2132.7
Auto22.9
Teleop104.5
End13.8
red by 26.7
3570
#18
119.415.1
83.198.1
Auto14.2
Teleop91.7
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed