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Red193
659493.9
7226123.4
7211154.1
Blue407
5502133.0
3572154.7
2054164.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143800100300500600700193407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7211
#21
154.11.0
135.4136.4
Auto15.4
Teleop115.0
End28.3
blue by 10.5
164.70.1
136.9136.9
Auto20.4
Teleop120.6
End26.3
Second
7226
#30
123.41.5
112.7114.2
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End21.9
blue by 31.3
3572
#12
154.70.2
136.5136.6
Auto20.8
Teleop110.7
End25.7
Third
6594
#28
93.90.1
86.786.6
Auto14.3
Teleop71.5
End10.8
blue by 39.1
5502
#16
133.014.7
86.6101.3
Auto16.1
Teleop99.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed