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Red85
6538138.6
6963110.8
5203107.2
Blue113
5622120.8
7109110.5
720897.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27825510015020030035040045085113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6538
#14
138.61.6
141.0139.4
Auto18.6
Teleop102.9
End19.6
red by 17.8
5622
#23
120.81.8
112.7114.5
Auto16.4
Teleop93.1
End13.4
Second
6963
#29
110.834.1
111.977.7
Auto16.6
Teleop87.4
End2.2
red by 0.2
7109
#13
110.50.7
105.5106.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.6
End11.4
Third
5203
#34
107.22.9
115.1112.2
Auto14.4
Teleop85.2
End8.0
red by 9.5
7208
#33
97.70.2
104.0104.2
Auto15.1
Teleop76.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed