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Red296
5622120.8
2959170.4
7226123.4
Blue427
74176.9
5982138.7
720897.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30433602004006008001,000296427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.40.1
159.0159.2
Auto18.8
Teleop118.9
End33.7
blue by 6.5
74
#8
176.90.9
165.9166.8
Auto21.6
Teleop137.5
End18.0
Second
7226
#30
123.40.9
118.5119.4
Auto16.7
Teleop84.0
End21.9
blue by 15.3
5982
#20
138.71.6
146.1144.5
Auto16.4
Teleop100.0
End23.9
Third
5622
#23
120.81.7
117.1118.8
Auto16.4
Teleop93.1
End13.4
red by 23.0
7208
#33
97.70.3
103.3103.1
Auto15.1
Teleop76.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed